Hey! Love the article, but I'm not sure how you calculated the invulnerable saves- I'm not aware Ghazgull has one, and regardless shouldn't we be interested in the probability of failing the save?
Hey! Love the article, but I'm not sure how you calculated the invulnerable saves- I'm not aware Ghazgull has one, and regardless shouldn't we be interested in the probability of failing the save?
Hi, I'm Simon. Main army- Eldar, Craftworld Kan'di Khaine! Casual & tournament player with Vale Renegades @ Firestorm Games, Cardiff, Tuesdays!
Hi Silent!
Yes, Ghazghkull has a Cybork body which grants him a 5+ invulnerable save (2/6 chance for success, 4/6 chance for failure). Whoops, looks like I called it the wrong thing; the probability was correct, but I listed it incorrectly in the description.
In short: P(A∩B) = 34.37% * 2/3 = 22.92% just means that Red has a 34% chance to land 4 or more hits, and Ghazghkull has a 33% chance to save against it, bringing us to 22.92% that she successfully swallows him whole!
=P
Last edited by Dlatrex; 02-04-2014 at 12:58 PM.
And for completeness sake I did add Abby using Drach'nyen. Apparently not the better tool for the job in this case:
Warmaster Abbadon (using Drach'nyen)
Swallowed Whole! 9.68%
Red untouched 11.85%
Red 1 wound 20.23%
Red 2 wounds 24.24%
Red DEAD 43.66%
So I guess Yarrick is cool enough to have a invulnerable save now? That certainly helps keep him alive (updated the statistics).
You win +1 Internets for the day!
"Build a man a fire, and he'll be warm for a day. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life." ~ T. Pratchett
This is the best thing I've seen on BoLS in quite a while. This is frontpage material. It's far more interesting than most of the articles published, anyway.
That might be taking it a little far, but I do thank you for the compliment! Just the rantings of an epidemiologist with too much time on his hands ;-)
Nice article... thanks for the post!